Belief bias binds our perception of arguments, urging us to base our reasoning on the believability of a proposed outcome, rather than on the logical strength of the argument or explanation.

 

That means that examining the validity of an idea from a logical perspective may not necessarily have any importance at all when we are inclined to believe.

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We are more likely to accept a conclusion as true if it is believable on a personal level, while ignoring logical principles. And this is because belief is largely tied to emotion.

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Unmanaged, this subjective slant typically results in resistance to changing circumstances or new information that contradicts a preexisting belief.

 

This mind knot also hinders problem-solving by limiting a captain’s ability to think outside their own belief bay, which is necessary for creating innovative solutions.

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Through the lens of Captains of Showboating, leaders who perform to persuade, and who are skilled in the art of "sway," we'll examine the prominent bias to which they are bound - the Belief bias.

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Navigating Belief Bias

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Know your Knots

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Am I more likely to accept arguments and ideas that align with my existing beliefs, even if they lack strong evidence?

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Do I recognize when my emotional attachment to certain beliefs may be clouding my judgment and influencing my assessment of arguments?

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Do I practice intellectual humility? Am I open to acknowledging that I may not have all the answers and that my beliefs are subject to change as I learn more?

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THE BOTTOM LINE

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When you can't beat them, you join them!

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The Strategy Equation:

Belief Bias + Regret Aversion and skepticism =

The Enduring Enchanter Model

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Resets blind belief into evidence-based belief increasing the probability of enduring outcomes.

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Learn how to harness the force of cognitive and emotional biases to work for you instead of against you.

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You'll find navigation techniques and strategies to manage the Belief bias for the leader, and for the organization

in Mind Knots

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Adapted from Mind Knots

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